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EIA forecasts global petroleum inventory draws and higher crude oil prices in 2021 (12/9/2020)

In its December 2020 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that consumption of liquid fuels in 2021 will increase more than production globally, resulting in draws from global petroleum stocks (Figure 1). EIA forecasts that global oil demand will increase in 2021 as a result of expected worldwide gross domestic product (GDP) growth as the COVID-19 outbreak eases. The recent announcement by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and partner countries (OPEC+) that they are reducing their planned January increase in crude oil production from their original agreement led EIA to lower its forecast for global oil production in 2021 compared with the November STEO, notably in the first quarter. With less forecast global production, EIA raised its forecast Brent crude oil price in 2021 by $2 per barrel (b) compared with the November STEO. ... Via EIA: This Week in Petroleum http://www.eia.gov/oog/info/twip/twip.asp

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